Certainly Obama must take
some responsibility, as chief promoter of the legislation for which the website
is supposed to act as gateway. Although he was far away from the details of
constructing the website, he took political credit for winning the most
ambitious transformation of American health care since the passage of Medicare
in 1965. Because Republicans have attacked this legislation so vehemently since
the day it was signed in 2010, the political significance attached to how it
would work grew enormously. Obama must take blame for two sets of failures: the
technical problems of the website and the massive cancellations of private
insurance policies that contradict his oft-stated promise that those who liked
their health care plans could keep them. These two failures have significantly
damaged the Democrats, but more important, they have made life more difficult
for millions of Americans.
Republicans cannot give away
all of the blame, though. They decided well before the ACA came to a vote that
they were going to oppose
every element of health care reform. The possibility of reaching compromise
ended already in July 2009, just six months after Obama took office, when
Republican senators vowed to defeat any Democratic bill: minority leader Mitch
McConnell said, “We’re doing everything we can to defeat it.”
That was just the beginning
of Republican efforts to torpedo ACA, a story which is well known. At the
federal level, House Republicans kept trying to repeal the bill. They refused
to provide the funds requested by the Department of Health and Human Services
to implement the ACA. At the state level, Republican-controlled states refused
to work with the federal government to implement the insurance exchanges.
Is this just normal politics?
Not if we look at the first version of Obamacare, which we could call
Romneycare in Massachusetts. When Governor Mitt Romney exulted about passage of
his most significant legislative achievement in 2006, he was flanked by
Democrats. The Massachusetts health care bill was a bipartisan
creation, written by Jonathan Gruber, an MIT economist who is a Democrat,
and Robert Moffit, from the conservative Heritage Foundation. After its
passage, Democrats helped to implement it. Now it
functions to increase the number of people with insurance and reduce the
annual growth of insurance costs. That’s how government is supposed to work.
Here’s one more reason,
perhaps the most important, why HealthCare.gov failed to work properly. Giant
new computer systems usually fail. Other huge government IT projects have had
similar results. Last year, the Air Force scrapped a software project that cost
$1 billion over seven years. A spokesman
said that the Expeditionary Combat Support System “has not yielded any
significant military capability.”
In case anyone believes that
government is the problem here, giant commercial IT projects also fail. Last
year, Apple rolled out Apple Maps after two years of development as a
competitor to Google Maps, but it made embarrassing errors, and CEO Tim Cook apologized
publicly. A year later, however, Apple Maps is successfully taking
customers away from Google. The 2010 merger of United Airlines and Continental
caused massive foul-ups when the two reservation systems could not cooperate
properly. In August, the Department of Transportation fined
United because 9000 refund requests from customers were still delayed.
These are not isolated cases.
One survey
of thousands of big IT development projects estimated that over 40% failed and
52% were “challenged”, meaning over budget, behind schedule or not meeting user
expectations. Even if those numbers are exaggerated, the likelihood of
HealthCare.gov working on its first day, or even in its first month, was small.
That takes us back to the
beginning – the responsibility of the Obama administration to integrate this
knowledge into their planning. Because several different software development
companies worked on different parts of the website, and its proper functioning
required computer systems from many different government agencies and insurance
companies to mesh smoothly, a long period of testing was necessary before the
public rollout. That didn’t happen.
The Obama administration
failed to deliver what it promised. Republican obstructionism contributed to
the failure. But now more people who are eligible are enrolling
for Medicaid. People who have signed up are already saving
money on insurance. Eventually the website problems will be fixed. Only
then will we be able to weigh the value of this singular reform of our health
care system.
Steve Hochstadt
Jacksonville IL
Published in the Jacksonville
Journal-Courier, November 19, 2013
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